Monthly Archive for August, 2006

Timeshifting The Family

I love TiVo.

For one of my startups, I was traveling almost non-stop (wearing the hat of "bag-carrying salesman"). There was absolutely no way for me to ever see my favorite TV shows. Until I got TiVo, and could watch them on my schedule. Finally, TV was adapting to me instead of the other way around. Many thanks to the entrepreneurs, investors, and employees who created that business. The TiVo box has gone many years without major change - a testament to the fact that these folks got a lot of it right (or, at least, "good enough"). Congrats to them. You have fundamentally changed the way that we consume television.

However…

Amy and I were talking this weekend about some of the old, classic movies that we love and about a miniseries or two that had a big impact on us. Amy insists that I should see the miniseries Lonesome Dove, so I’ve added it to my list. For me, I remember, at 13 years of age, watching the miniseries Roots with my family. My family, and most other TV-watching families in America, were glued to their seats, day-after-day, to follow along with the trials and tribulations of Kunta Kinte and his family.

At that time, the concept of "miniseries" was a new one to television and, according to Wikipedia, Roots had a heck of a following:

The term became well-established in the mid 1970s, particularly with the success of Rich Man, Poor Man, based on the novel of Irwin Shaw, in 1976. Alex Haley’s Roots in 1977 can fairly be called the first blockbuster success of the format. Its success in the USA was due to its schedule: the twelve hours were split into eight episodes broadcast on consecutive nights, resulting in a finale with a 71 percent share of the audience and 130 million viewers.

Yes, that’s 71% share with 130 million viewers. I imagine that this was primarily a US-only viewership.

Amazing.

Remember, these were the days before TiVo. You had to be up-front and center to experience the show. To some, TV was even a reward. Your shows started and stopped whether you were ready for them or not. TV, and the shows your family loved, was a forcing function. In the days before TiVo:

  • You HAD to be in front of the TV with your full attention (no rewind)
  • You HAD to finish your chores or homework in time, else you didn’t watch (no record)
  • You ENJOYED the commercials, since they gave you a chance to use the restroom or get a snack (no pause or fast-forward)
  • You WATCHED and COMMENTED on the show WITH your other family members (no "I’ll watch it today, you watch it tomorrow, then delete it")
  • You BRAGGED to your friends on Monday morning that you stayed up late to watch Saturday Night Live (now it’s Saturday Night TiVo’ed)
  • You EXPERIENCED the show the same time as the rest of the nation, so you could talk about it around the office cooler the next day (no checking user-contributed reviews to see if you will even bother watching what you recorded)

Roots captured the attention of the US viewers, culminating in an amazing miniseries finale. Most importantly, it was a national shared experience. The fact that we all sacrificed in some way to see these 8 back-to-back episodes at the same time seemed to enhance the collective experience.

Of course, TiVo doesn’t take any of this away. TiVo is just a tool. I still love TiVo.

When you Timeshift, and many of us do these days, don’t let the tool allow your family to miss those shared experiences.

These days, the nation gets its shared real-time experiences through shows like American Idol, which must be watched with that same attention because the viewers have to vote for their favorite performers within a short window following the show. Hey, you do what you’ve gotta do to keep America’s attention and to keep those forcing functions alive.

Like TiVo, TV is just a tool as well. Use your tools wisely.

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Wired: Build a Web 2.0 Startup!

The September 2006 issue of Wired Magazine includes one of their "useful" StartUp-O-TronTM algorithms for picking what your next, hot, Web 2.0 startup should/could be.

This really takes all the fun out of building your business model. Ah, well.

Choose one or more from each column:

Market Hyped Tech Service Architecture
Dating AJAX Recommendations Podcast
Reviews Streaming Messaging Auction
Gambling Ruby on Rails Entertainment Blog
Maps BitTorrent Publishing VodCast
Porn RFID Buying/Selling Social Network
Music Wireless Search Store
Gaming Flash Discussion Wiki
Video Java Aggregation Community
News VOIP Data Mining Sharing
Photo GPS Portal
Productivity RSS Utility Software
Sports Tagging

Wired Example:

  • It’s a PHOTO site that uses TAGGING and RSS to do SEARCH in a COMMUNITY. We call it FLICKR.

They missed a few buzzwords. I’d add:

  • For Market: File Sharing, Real Estate, Finance
  • For Hyped Tech: P2P, Mashup

Brian Berliner Quick Example:

  • It’s a VIDEO site that uses STREAMING, FLASH and TAGGING to do ENTERTAINMENT in a SOCIAL NETWORK. We call it YOUTUBE.

Add one of your own to the Comments section. Perhaps the TechCrunch guys could start each review out with one of these generated tag-lines! Enjoy…

For an automated tool to do something similar, and more, try bullshitr.

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Nokia E61 and iSync

I’ve had quite a few people write to me in response to my post about the Nokia E61 Smartphone. Some have asked how I got it to work with iSync on my Apple Mac OS X system. Here’s what I did. It works for me, but you should exercise extreme caution whenever mucking with stuff like this (up-to-date backups of everything, etc).

I am running Mac OS X 10.4.7 with iSync 2.3.

  1. Take a look at this post
  2. If you don’t speak German, it basically is telling you to download this link
  3. Within that download you will see:
  4. If you still don’t speak German, you should:

    1. Quit from iSync
    2. Drag the Orange folder to the Red folder and drop it
    3. Start up iSync
    4. Add your device, as usual

This will put the "mactomster.phoneplugin" folder into the /Applications/iSync.app/Contents/PlugIns/ ApplePhoneConduit.syncdevice/Contents/PlugIns directory for you. iSync should then be able to find your Nokia E61, including a lovely icon matching the device.

This may also work for the Nokia 3250, Nokia 5500, Nokia 6130, Nokia 6233, Nokia 6234, Nokie E50, Nokia E60, Nokia E70, Nokia E71, Nokia E72, Nokia E73, Nokia N80, Nokia N91, Nokia N92, Nokia N93 as well.

I have no idea what will happen when iSync 2.4 comes out or OS X 10.4.8 is released. You are on your own! Please add comments here to clarify any of the instructions.

Many thanks to Tom’s Website for Symbian and Apple.

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Seth’s Web 2.0 Traffic List

Seth Godin has created a list of 937 "Web 2.0" companies, ranked them according to their Alexa Traffic Rank, then showed how they each have moved on the Traffic Rank list over the past 6 months.

Check it out on Alexaholic.

Now, you could certainly argue about who should or should not be on the list, and you could certainly note that Alexa Traffic Rankings don’t tell the full story (they care more about bits moved than they do about unique users), but nevertheless, this is still an interesting way to slice the data.

Thanks, Seth.

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LinkExperts looks to “hire” a VC investor

Looks like LinkExperts just paid $200 to place an ad on the new TechCrunch job board, CrunchBoard.

The full ad is here.

It’s hilarious. They are looking for a "Chief Investor (CI)":

LinkExperts is seeking an outstanding Venture Capital or Private Equity organization to provide funding and accelerate its strategic relationships. Responsibilities would include sourcing, executing and supporting an investment in LinkExperts.

The best part:

At LinkExperts, our employees are our most valued assets. We offer a variety of competitive benefit programs that demonstrate our commitment to our dynamic workforce. As an investor, you would not be eligible for any kind of compensation or benefits.

Ugh.

Parts were cute and parts were a bit over-the-top. I got a laugh out of it, but they might have been better served if they had included some current stats on their business instead of the list of current benefits. I give them credit for trying to reach a target audience, but VCs care more about the business than they do about cute marketing tactics.

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LinuxWorld Expo 2006: San Francisco

I walked the LinuxWorld Expo 2006 floor and wanted to highlight a few companies for you. I did not have time to dig in with everyone, so this is just what caught my eye.

General Observations
Each year, it seems that the LinuxWorld Expo continues to grow in size. And, each year, there appear to be more and more "suits" (which is a good thing). There were plenty of folks doing storage & continuous data protection &  iSCSI , lots of virtualization management, lots of 10Gb ethernet,  lots of old acquaintances, and lots of freebies. There was plenty of Open Source and a renewed focus on Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SME/SMB) marketplace, and product pricing is getting better (cheaper for customers). Finally, there were a bunch of anti-virus, anti-spam, anti-spyware, IDS/IPS companies - trying to keep the bad guys at bay.

I listed to a couple dozen product pitches. Many of them needed way too many words to get the core product idea and differentiation across. Don’t ask me to pull the interesting pieces of your product out of you. Marketers note: Get your pitches nailed by everyone at the booth, keep the pitch short and simple, and hit the important points quickly. Geoffrey Moore of Mohr Davidow Ventures provides some advice on the components that should be part of an elevator pitch, as well as David Cowan of Bessemer Venture Partners.

I would have to say that the company with the most unfortunate name would be: "LeWiz Communications". They are a San Jose company, yet all I could think of was, well, a French version of  "The Wiz", or, ahem, worse.

Disclaimer: I obtained the stats below by talking to folks in the booth. I could be completely wrong.


FiveRuns has built a nice monitoring tool and are selling it in a SaaS model. They think most customers will install between 35-50 servers at a cost of $60/month per server. They are squarely focused on the SME market. They’ve done a nice job with the UI. trying to bubble up the important information and hide the unnecessary detail through progressive disclosure. It’s the less-is-more philosophy. It looked like a good start, and something that would be valuable to the SME customer (who don’t have big-budget IT folks on hand, typically). Lots more work to be done, but I like the style of this first pass. They’ve received $2.9M from Austin Ventures and Goodrich (from Wilson Sonsini) at the end of 2005, so timeframe for a Series B is likely soon.

Side note: I prefer to think of the $60/month price as "$2/day… less than the cost of your Starbucks drink to monitor and manage your server".


GroundWork Open Source sells a suite of IT infrastructure monitoring and management tools. Somewhat similar to FiveRuns, but their tools are not hosted as SaaS - you install them locally in your network. They’ve based some of their offering on the Open Source Nagios 2.0 tool, and are active in that community. The product looks to be more industrial grade than the FiveRuns solution and, perhaps, harder to use. GroundWork is also targeting the SME marketplace. They’ve priced the GroundWork Monitor Professional at $16K/year annual subscription, and that gives you the right to install it on a single server, but you can manage thousands of other servers from it.

So, entry cost is certainly higher for GroundWork than it is for FiveRuns. However, if you’ve got a big enough shop (266 servers, say), the costs balance out. Also, GroundWork sells add-on products for a one-time fee of $9K each. The add-on modules available are: Network Discovery & Configuration Control, Network Traffic Analysis, Scalable SNMP Polling. I don’t think these add-ons are given back to the Open Source community.


SWsoft provides a tool that does what they call "OS Virtualization". It’s not like VMware or Xen or Microsoft Virtual Server or Parallels. Those tools will allow you to run multiple operating systems on a singe physical piece of hardware. SWsoft’s Virtuozzo allows you to ruin multiple, and isolated, application stacks on top of a single operating system. Think closer to Solaris zones/containers, I suppose. From system libraries up to the application software itself. And, the virtualization layer allows you to move application stacks between physical servers - even while the application is live. I’ve been watching SWsoft for some time. I think they’ve got a pretty cool hybrid approach to getting the goals of "virtualization", without having to virtualize the whole machine.

They’ve priced it at $1,250/cpu + management tools (if you wanted a GUI). I think that’s too high, but the folks working the booth thought it was a bargain compared to VMware ESX. I’d be pricing this for market adoption right now.


XenSource was showing off their XenEnterprise 3.0 product, due to be released in a couple of weeks. The GUI is simple and pretty clean. Not much fancy going on here, which is probably a good thing at this stage. It will support Linux today and Windows guests in Q4 of this year (running under Intel’s VT and AMD’s Pacifica hardware virtualization chipsets, and with some Xen para-virtualization drivers loaded).  I think they have priced it at about $750 per 2-socket CPU server plus $200/year maintenance. I don’t think this version will support Vmotion-like migration of virtual machines between physical servers, but the underlying Xen hypervisor will be able to do that on its own.

XenSource also recently announced a deep partnership with Microsoft to get their virtualized worlds to play together nicely someday. Basically, XenSource will provide a Xen-Enabled version of Linux that Microsoft’s Viridian hypervisor will be able to run. Microsoft will support their OS running on top of XenEnterprise, much like it supports Windows on top of VMware ESX.

Future versions of XenEnterprise will support Virtual Framebuffers, enhanced storage/SAN support and iSCSI capabilities.


rPath builds some very cool software, for Linux only, which allows you to build a custom and easy-to-manage appliance from your application and Linux distribution. And, given how well Linux is being received as a perfect OS for embedded and appliance applications, this is all goodness. VMware certainly has a nice focus on their Virtual Appliance market, and rPath can help turbocharge it (for Linux). They have a total OEM model, which I like, but is usually hard to get started. However, once a design win is won, the two companies are locked together and the success of each breeds more success. I don’t have specifics on pricing, but they get paid for every copy that their customer ships - a nice, scalable business model. They raised $6.4M last September from North Bridge Venture Partners and General Catalyst Partners, so it’s likely time to do Series B.


Openbravo is an Open Source ERP solution out of Pamplona, Spain. They have a nice product, which isn’t too surprising since they have been bootstrapping the development since 1999. They received about $6.4M in January, 2006, from Sodena, an investor in Spain. Again, they have an SME focus, which could work well for them. And, they’ve gotten good activity traction of SourceForge.net after they put their code up. Their business model is the "professional services and support" form of the Open Source business model, as well as strong enablement and support of other installation "partners".. I would rather see them offer a SaaS version and do some proprietary add-on modules to pump up the traction and differentiation (but that’s just me).

If they want to go big with this, they may very likely need to do what Compiere has recently done in order to scale to the size of the opportunity - get a large US VC to fund the Series B and move the headquarters to the US. Very hard things for some entrepreneurs to even consider, and they should only consider it if it matched their goals for the company. Compiere recently closed a $6M round with NEA.


Cassatt had a booth and it was nice to see the old gang peddling the wares, and quite a few new faces too. There appeared to be a good buzz around the booth. Disclosure: I am co-founder and was the original EVP & CTO of Cassatt (and a shareholder).

All in all, it was a good day. Unfortunately, I didn’t win any of the drawings for the good giveaways. Maybe next year.

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Wordpress Trackbacks Not Working With Qumana

I am a new blogger.

I have discovered that blogging tools are still somewhat crude.

I chose Wordpress as my blog server-side software, hosted by Dreamhost instead of using the Wordpress.com hosting service. Why? I already had the Dreamhost account and I wanted full control to use whatever version I wanted and to fix/enhance the software when needed. One of the advantages of an Open Source piece of software, like Wordpress, is that the user community gets to help make it better for everyone on the platform. A happy user community breeds a better Open Source product, and the cycle feeds, positively, on itself. I had dinner with Matt (Mr. Wordpress himself) at the O’Reilly Web 2.0 Conference last October in San Francisco. Wordpress has really taken off since then, so it seemed like a reasonable choice. I have been mostly happy with it. Until…

I also chose Qumana as my blog-writing client-side software. I wanted a WYSIWYG blog writing tool that allows for offline editing since I travel a great deal. I run exclusively on Apple Mac OS X. Wordpress has a list of available clients. I tried them all. Qumana is the best that’s available today, but it has a number of annoying problems that I will get to in another post on another day. The current beta is free. TechCruch covers it here and here and here.

For today, I wanted to point out that, as a new blogger, the ability to send Trackbacks to articles that I comment on is pretty important. I am completely surprised that this appears to be a manual process:

  1. Visit the blog article that you are linking to
  2. Search down for "trackback" to see what the Trackback URI address is
  3. Select it and cut-and-paste, or right-clink and copy
  4. Paste it into the Trackbacks section of Qumana

OK, that’s a pain, but at least it’s a process with a known workflow.

The problem comes when you do "Publish Post" or "Update Post" to send your fine new article to your Wordpress server so that it can be posted, and can then ping all the trackback links for you. Wordpress 2.0.3 will not send out any of the trackbacks that you send it via the XML-RPC API that is used by blog editing software, like Qumana or MarsEdit or Ecto. When you edit the post in Wordpress, it will say "Send trackbacks to: Array". It will look something like:

Now, you are forced to:

  • Edit the article directly in Wordpress
  • Delete the "Array" part
  • Go find all your Trackback URI’s again, one-by-one, as in the previous steps
  • Paste them into the Trackbacks field above, separated by spaces
  • Save the updated post in Wordpress

The worst part, though, is that after you save the post, some of the formatting is modified by Wordpress, causing the lines to wrap in Qumana in ways that you did not intend. Ugh. Fix the line breaks in Qumana and update it again. Heaven forbid if you actually added another Trackback address. I need a drink.

Annoyed, I took the morning off to fix it today.

There appears to be a bug that was opened about this issue, Ticket #1452 on Trac. The bug was opened one year ago, on June 18, 2005. It was fixed promptly by July 7, 2005, but the fix never worked. In November, Matt saw that the fix did not work and moved the resolution out to the 2.1 release (whenever that will be). I needed a fix now, so I found the problem and fixed it (the API was feeding it an "array", but the trackback code expected to get a "string" of Trackback URL’s separated by whitespace). The fix was easy. Since I’m not familiar with the code, finding the fix took a couple of hours of old-school printf-style debugging.

My quick and dirty fix was as follows. Immediately after the following lines in xmlrpc.php:

$to_ping = $content_struct['mt_tb_ping_urls'];

Note that there are two lines in the file like the above line - one in mw_newPost and one in mw_editPost. You should add the following lines of code after each of them:

if (is_array($to_ping)) {
    $to_ping = implode("\n", $to_ping);
}

Update: As I wrote this article, I see that the Wordpress developers posted a patch for this very same problem TODAY at this link. Ah, if only I had procrastinated one more day… No matter. I learned a ton about PHP and the Wordpress architecture today. Also, their patch is completely different than mine and I have not tried their fix. Add a comment here if you do. Such is the life of concurrent software development.

Such is the life of a new blogger with fairly, ahem, "fresh" tools.

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Rumor: Apple to add 64-bit Merom chips to MacBook Pro Soon

DigiTimes and jkOnTheRun leak a rumor in reference to AsusTeK (manufacturer for MacBook) & Quanta (manufacturer for MacBook Pro) that we may see the MacBook Pro with a 64-bit Merom CPU (the Intel Core 2 Duo Mobile) as early as September or October. The new chip would replace the current Yonah chip (hat tip to The Apple Core at ZDNet).

I’m still using my PowerBook G4 15″ (which has served me very well), and have delayed purchasing the first-generation Intel-based MacBook Pro. The addition of the Core 2 Duo Mobile may be just the thing that gets me to upgrade.

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PEWeek Dan: 2006 VC/PE IPOs vs Non-VC/PE IPOs… So far

If you don’t know Dan Primack… You should. He writes a daily email newsletter, PE Week Wire, for Venture Economics (a Thomson Financial company). In addition to Dan’s witty and insightful commentary (which is good enough on its own to warrant our attention), the daily newsletter covers the following sections:

  • VC Deals
  • Buyout Deals
  • PE-Backed IPOs
  • PE Exits
  • PE-Backed M&A
  • Firm & Fund News
  • Human Resources

You can subscribe to PE Week Wire email here - FREE (not really offered, to the best of my knowledge, as a full feed via RSS because they want you to see the ads). Tell Dan I sent you. Ask about the old Pontiac. :-). Read this newsletter before you read the front page of the Wall Street Journal each morning.

Dan is one of the good ones.

Anyway, I just wanted to quote a couple comments Dan made this week comparing the performance of VC- and LBO-backed IPOs in 2006 compared to the performance of Non-VC/Non-LBO IPOs in 2006. This week. On Wednesday, he says:

*** I wrote that public market investors are becoming wary of LBO-backed IPOs. Some of you asked for evidence. So… Thomson Financial reports that the average aftermarket performance for all 2006 IPOs was -2% as of market close Monday. The average LBO-backed IPO, on the other hand, was down -2.06 percent. Admittedly not much of a difference, but LBO-backed offerings are supposed to outperform the overall public markets, not slightly under-perform.

*** An anonymous tipster suggested the following: “Take a look at IPO stock performance by different funds. Just to pick on one, companies Bain has IPO’d have performed above the average IPO performance. Similar patterns for many other top-tier funds.”

Ok, I looked. And you’re incorrect. Bain Capital has priced ten IPOs since the beginning of 2002 (I picked 2002 because it’s post-bubble). Nine of them are still trading, with one (Shopping.com) having been acquired by eBay. The average aftermarket performance of the nine is 9.6%, or 10.31% if you include the Shopping.com sale price. Overall, however, average aftermarket performance for IPOs over the same time period has been 32.8 percent. And so that you don’t think I’m picking on Bain, the situation is even worse for fellow HCA buyer KKR. Its average IPO aftermarket performance since 2002 has been 5.53%, or 10.3% if you include the sale price of PanAmSat.

While today (Friday), he says:

*** Earlier this week, I noted that LBO-backed IPOs in 2006 are performing worse in the aftermarket than IPOs at large. Some asked if the same is true of VC-backed IPOs. The answer is yes, and it’s more pronounced. You can find specifics in Monday’s issue of PE Week, but here is a basic explanation: The public markets are becoming increasingly risk averse, particularly for new companies. The best-performing IPOs in 2006 are in sectors like retail and industrials, whereas the worst-performing are in telecom and healthcare. It is in this latter sandbox that most VCs play – linke Vonage and Iomai — and they are paying the price so far this year.

Now, the public markets of late have been a somewhat ugly place. Even so, the stats are the stats. Thanks, Dan. Keep up the good work.

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Guy Kawasaki is on my Top Ten List

Signum sine tinnitu--by Guy KawasakiGuy Kawasaki started his blog on Dec 30, 2005, just in time to make some New Year’s Resolutions. One resolution was that he’d lose some weight, hoping to drop from 200 to 180. Coincidentally, I was sitting at 198 at the same time, and did get down to 177 a few months later (where Weight Watchers tells me that I am now "healthy", but still at the high end for my 6′ frame). Guy: I’d be happy to write a post about it if you think there would be some general interest…

The desire to lose weight is not all that Guy and I have in common:

  • Guy was born and raised in Hawaii. I’ve been to Hawaii.
  • Guy majored in Psychology. I’ve had a number of 1:1 sessions with Psychologists.
  • Guy went to law school, then quickly dropped. I avoided law school.
  • Guy cut his teeth on the Apple II. Me too, as it turns out (I was 15).
  • Guy was an early Mac user. Me too. Bigger UNIX user, though (current Macs).
  • Guy’s companies wrote cool software. Me too.
  • Guy plays ice hockey. I play roller hockey.
  • Guy started Garage.com and runs Garage Technology Ventures. Some day something similar for me…

While he’s only been an active blogger for 7.5 months, he has produced some of the most excellent and well written posts that I have seen in my 16 months of reading VC blogs. One thing I have particularly enjoyed about Guy’s posts is his penchant for limiting things to the "Top Ten" points. The ability to distill the information down to ten (or so) points really makes the information concise (very hard to do), and I am always impressed by the care and thought he makes in creating these posts.

So, with that, I wanted to see if I could point out the Top Ten Guy Kawasaki Posts for Entrepreneurs (from his first few months of posts), in my opinion. This will be difficult.

  1. The 10/20/30 Rule of PowerPoint
  2. The Top Ten Lies of Venture Capitalists (Entrepreneurs, Engineers, Marketers, Corporate Partners, Guy, CEOs)
  3. Hindsights (Addendum)
  4. The Venture Capitalist Wishlist
  5. How to Get a Standing Ovation (Addendum)
  6. How to Kick Butt On a Panel
  7. The Zen of Business Plans
  8. The Art of Bootstrapping (Execution, Recruiting II, Schmoozing, Partnering, Creating a Community, Raising Angel Capital, Board Meeting, Executive Summary)
  9. Nine Questions to Ask a Startup
  10. After the Honeymoon

There, I almost did it :-)… Too much good stuff.

Guy is clearly a classy and articulate guy… uh, man.

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